Oklahoma Republican Sen. Tom Coburn will seek to offset federal aid to victims of a massive tornado that blasted through Oklahoma City suburbs on Monday with cuts elsewhere in the budget.> more ... (0 comments)
… there’s no doubt about how mad Republicans are about Benghazi. 41% say they consider this to be the biggest political scandal in American historyContinue reading »
There appears to be a new rash of arguments out there about how we’d all be better off if Barack Obama had just read his Robert Caro a little more closely. The broader arguments have already been made elsewhere. I’m sure I’ve probably made such arguments myself in moments of high emotion too. But the more I think about it, I just see this particular theory–that with some combination of cajoling, bullying, and pleading, Obama could pass his agenda over a stone-crazy GOP House and a filibuster-prone Senate–as not that compelling. So I’d advise proponents of it to make a more sophisticated argument: that Obama has already failed to be LBJ. Specifically, that the decisions he made in 2009-2010 ensured that Democrats would lose Congress and that he’d thus lose the ability to pass big, important legislation. I think this is actually a plausible argument, though I don’t fully believe it. Johnson had been a Washington legislator for over two decades when he became president, while Obama had really only done the job of a day-to-day U.S. Senator for two years upon getting into the White House. It’s been exhaustively documented that Obama cared much more about policy than politics and was insistent about bipartisan outreach, leading to a situation where he led the banks out of crisis by taking extensive political damage, and taking over a year to pass health care while the economy was pushed to the back-burner. The public got fatigued by the debate, the Tea Party made a stronger narrative about the ACA than the White House did, and so on, which led to Scott Brown and the rest of it. This is a plausible argument and I could go either way on it depending on the weather and so forth, but it’s not exactly ironclad when one remembers just how hapless those large Democratic majorities were, and even a second stimulus wouldn’t probably have staved off significant losses in 2010. But you could make more of an argument there.
For my money, the only moment where Obama needed to show that mythical LBJ/FDR spine of steel and didn’t was the first time the debt ceiling was threatened. Sequestration is turning out to be a policy disaster for the liberal project and a political disaster for Obama, the original sin from which (nearly) all others entered our world. He damned himself by not putting himself and his presidency on the line to shut down this disaster, and given that the Republicans folded like a 2-7 hand in Texas Hold ‘Em in March when it came up again, there’s even less reason to assume that Obama made the right call back then. Frankly, it almost doesn’t matter what he does now since that decision set the environment perfectly for austerian Republicans to turn the tables on him. It was one of those defining moments you hear about, and Obama flat-out flunked the test. Since then there’s been little opportunity to reverse that catastrophic decision, so complaining that Obama isn’t being tough enough now is beside the point.
TPM:
Paul devoted almost none of his speech Wednesday at the historically black college in Washington, D.C., to explaining the GOP’s thorny relationship with black voters over the last fifty years, and most of it arguing that “the Republican Party has always been the party of civil rights and voting rights.” His history lecture focused almost entirely on the period before 1964, when the GOP began to champion the states rights arguments of southern whites. Echoing apopular conservative talking point, Paul repeatedly reminded the audience that Democrats passed Jim Crow laws in the south and that Abraham Lincoln was a Republican, as were the first black legislators and the founders of the NAACP.
The talking point here is popular, however, it’s asinine as well. Somewhere along the line, Republicans who like to use it to excuse nearly a half-century of “benign neglect” of these issues forgot that it was a silly little propaganda line and started to think that it was actually something they could use to win arguments and persuade people. Michael Steele built his black outreach program around it. Bruce Bartlett even wrote a book about it, and he’s not an idiot! This is a problem because it isn’t very persuasive, especially not to present-day black people who are engaged enough in civic life to know what’s what, but it’s also dubious to anyone with a sense of history. Yes, Lincoln was a Republican, and so was Grant. Both had pretty good records on this stuff. Then came about six decades of mostly GOP governance in which nothing was done. And nothing much was done during the New Deal/Eisenhower era either. There is something of a myth that the GOP was pro-civil rights during this era, but it wasn’t really the case. Some individuals and groups were–the great Earl Warren, some Senators like Jake Javits and Margaret Chase Smith, and actually a fair number of Eisenhower staffers like Sherman Adams, Ike’s Chief of Staff, and Attorney General Herb Brownell, who together pushed Eisenhower to get serious about the issue despite his palpable lack of enthusiasm toward it. For the most part, though, Republicans of the time represented Midwest and Interior West states that had few black people in them, didn’t care much about the issue, and didn’t want to jeopardize their alliance with Southern Democrats over it. See Caro’s third LBJ book for more on this. Eventually, Republicans came around for political reasons, when they realized that Adlai Stevenson’s ties to Southern Democrats eroded black support for Democrats and saw an in to grabbing that support. Richard Nixon’s support for civil rights was entirely opportunistic, and it was discarded once going the other way was better politics. In any event, Warren, Javits, Smith, Adams, Brownell and all the rest of them were all stereotypical RINOs who would have been drummed out of the party sometime in the 1990s if they were our contemporaries.
Anyway, you know all this. But every once in a while someone talks about how Republicans will eventually flip on marriage equality and start to talk about gay rights as if they’ve always been for them, which doesn’t quite seem right to me. Republicans have, at various points, strongly supported civil rights as a party. Those points have happened to come at high points for the popularity of civil rights as an issue, so to the average person who is disposed to vote Republican, that record seems just about right–doing the important things, while avoiding the “excesses” like affirmative action and reparations and so on. This is why they’re able to get away with it. But Republicans have never been in favor of gay rights. There’s no real ambiguity there. The only thing I can possibly think of is that Reagan opposed the ballot proposition to forbid LGBT from becoming schoolteachers in 1978, but that’s awful thin, and Reagan’s own record is hardly positive in this area. You can’t posit Reagan as a hero of gay rights with that whole “not doing anything about AIDS” record. I guess you can add in Barry Goldwater’s support for LGBT to serve in the military, but Jesse Helms more than compensates for that. There’s no counternarrative to build here, really, and although there is some chunk of the GOP that supports civil marriage, the average person who is disposed to vote for the GOP thinks the party’s record on this stuff is just about right. That is, that full-scale opposition to marriage equality is the right thing in their opinion. The fact is that nearly all Senate Republicans voted for the 1964 CRA, and nearly all Senate Republicans voted for a Constitutional Amendment to ban same-sex marriage in 2004. People who came of age during these times will always have “antigay” as a first impression of the GOP, and it will actually take hard work to reverse that.
I’ve been feeling a little reflective today. I remember back when I started following politics seriously (’05-’06, roughly), the conventional wisdom went something like this: Democrats were well-intentioned bumblers who couldn’t stand up to the awesome super-charged, aggressive tactics of Republicans. It’s interesting how different the picture is now: Republicans are less a source of fear to today’s liberals than a constant source of irritation, annoyance, lack of comprehension and pity. The Democrats still have their bumblers–Harry Reid has his moments of brilliance but is to me sort of the most painful reminder of those days–but they seem on the whole a lot more formidable than they used to be, not to mention the other guys who seem to be unable to go a couple days without a politician committing a major gaffe or by self-inflicting damage on themselves politically.
I’m not at all hopeful that the Democrats will retake the House in 2014. I do think it’s possible the party will gain a couple seats in the House just because of how tight the gerrymanders in most states are, and the presence of low-hanging fruit in the form of a couple winnable seats that the DCCC botched last time. But I generally have a sense of where these things are headed, and I don’t really feel big losses next year. I doubt we’ll even lose more than 2-3 seats in the Senate, and pick up maybe a handful of governorships. I’m also guessing it will be a good year for state legislative elections that aren’t held every two years–a fair number of wingnuts from 2010 should be beatable, subjected to a less desperate electorate.
Anyway, what I’ve been wondering is: how long can a political party go on despite being so unpopular and mistrusted by the public? It’s quite true that gerrymandering saved their collective hides in 2012, but even maintaining that is going to rest, ultimately, on a party holding some level of public support. Party ID isn’t eternal and unchanging, it’s a fluid construct. Most of these gerrymandered districts are only winnable with support from independents and less-nutty, moderate Republicans. Apart and aside from inexorable demographic trends, one has to wonder how secure they should really feel at this point. My guess is that a strong Hillary Clinton 2016 win would probably also involve retaking the House for Democrats, but I seriously think that it shouldn’t be impossible regardless of the candidates. The reason why the GOP won’t change is because the people in charge won’t let it change, and the reason for that is that they’ve been told they can have everything they want without compromising. People don’t like this attitude, and it’s poison to actually getting things done. This is sort of one of those “fundamentals” think-piece sorts of things, but I’d be surprised if another four years of the same attitude, style and policy gets them very far.
A propos of nothing, I finally finished Robert Caro’s The Power Broker, which wound up becoming a six-month project, albeit an off-and-on one. There were stretches of weeks when I didn’t pick it up. The book was definitely well-written, but it’s less smooth than his LBJ books. Robert Moses is just such an unrelenting bastard that I couldn’t really build up a momentum reading it the way I could with the LBJ books, which have the benefit of a central character who has a more appealing balance of characteristics and is much more appealing to spend time learning about. (Also, Broker might just have more words than any book I’ve ever read. Fewer pages than, say, Les Miserables or War and Peace, but very little dialog and lots of long, dense paragraphs. That’ll slow you down too.) Aside from Moses being a complete bastard, the book was often pretty fascinating, seeing how this guy managed to get literally everyone who mattered behind him, and built an organization that functionally had no constraints on it, for decades. The downfall portion, too, is compelling, though flawed because Caro tries too hard to inject sympathetic interpretations into it, there’s some space for it but it goes just a little too far sometimes. It’s all too common a story, in which the tactics Moses had always used started to backfire on him, and he was too arrogant to think twice or consider his actions. It reminded me of the part in Gorenberg’s The Unmaking of Israel where he notes that the actions that initially bring about great successes are the hardest things to get people to reconsider. Just think of the generals fighting the last war, or the GOP itself for that matter. I’m appreciating that truth more and more these days.
My father had a ranch. We used to hire 50 to 60 wetbacks to pick tomatoes, you know. It takes two people to pick the same tomatoes now. It’s all done by machine.Today’s example of Republican Hispanic Outreach brought to you via The Mudflats with some side trips down other memory lanes by Shannyn Moore (“Asked for specifics, Young answered, “Buttf**king.””) and Alaska Ear (“Don explains seemingly contradictory comments to a TV reporter: “I don’t agree with what I said.”")

Conservative “humor” at its finest
This is the list. Check below the fold for a detailed scorecard. The gist of it is that only eight of the 25 count as quotes uttered by mainstream liberals that might be racist, at least possibly. The list itself almost refutes the premise (being, of course, that liberals are the real racists). The list consists of several distinct categories–undeniably racist quotes that are nearly as old as I am or that were uttered by “liberals” who are so obscure I’ve never even heard of them, quotes that aren’t racist but are troublesome (many of which were ubiquitous for a moment before dying with a shrug), factual statements or statements of opinion delivered with an attitude the writer doesn’t like, with the odd bit of hearsay and hilariously out of context quotes that can’t be racist because they make literally no sense because so much has been removed there is no coherent point. Obviously, this is done to ensure that the audience for this sort of thing feels the suggestion of racism alone, and naturally gives Hawkins the benefit of the doubt. Just goes to show how much work this whole “rebranding” is going to take.
What’s also striking about the list is how distant so many of the quotes are to the heart of liberal/progressive politics. C’mon, Ralph Nader is no liberal, though at least he’s famous. And the liberal/leftist split might not be as intuitive for a right-winger, so I wouldn’t press that point home. But the actual problem with this list is that, while many of these people are liberals, almost none of them have any power, or much visibility. Whereas, you can find sitting Republican officeholders who call the President of the United States uppity, that terrorists would be “dancing in the streets” should he be elected and that he discriminates against white people, that Obama ought to be opposed simply because he’s black. This is to say nothing of a certain former Senate Majority Leader waxing favorably upon the days of segregation, or all of Glenn Beck’s racial rhetoric on his defunct FOX News program, which ended not so long ago. These are considerably more bothersome than some writer nobody’s heard of saying white people shouldn’t vote, or thirdhand quotes about Rev. Joseph Lowery’s views on white people in the afterlife, or that Harry Reid used the word “Negro” once, which mostly just proves he’s really old, or Joe Biden’s famously tortured relationship with the English language. The latter of which refutes the whole premise–Biden is given two “racist” quotes, but if they are intended to “prove” that Biden secretly fumes at all those damned furriners, why would he accept the post of Vice President under a black man? Spend so much time with him, maintain such an attitude of respect and affection for him? I suppose it’s possible in the way that Oliver Stone’s theory of the JFK assassination is possible, but it’s not exactly the most simple or plausible explanation, especially given Biden’s complete inability to keep his feelings to himself. Which is not to deny the existence of liberal racism across the board, I sure as hell know that there’s some out there. But that’s not something I worry about because those people do not wield significant power at this point. Among conservatives, they do.
Hors D’oeuvres
Watching a Jerk Seize Main Chance
I so called this (pinkey swear) but I didn’t want to be the jerk who forecast somebody else f*ckin’ this particular chicken so soon:Judge Posner for the Win: Drastic Action Necessary To Un-F*ck U.S. Patent Regime
Sometimes you really have to hand it to Judge Posner.The sheer number of patents in the U.S. is fueling frivolous litigation and drastic action is needed to make patents more difficult to obtain and easier to invalidate, U.S. Circuit Judge Richard Posner of the Seventh Circuit said Tuesday. > more ... (0 comments)
I continue to think that there’s no deeper scandal on Benghazi and that the IRS issue is not really something I’m inclined to worry about as it wasn’t national policy, the AP scandal is something that is very worrisome as it clearly was national policy and exposes one of the more disgraceful areas of the > more ... (1 comments)Rep. Michele Bachmann Threatens To Leave Minnesota Over Gay Marriage
So much awesome:Congresswoman Michele Bachmann threatened to leave Minnesota today if the state goes ahead with its plans to legalize gay marriage. In an interview with a local television station, the conservative firebrand said she believes God will destroy Minneapolis once the legislation is enacted, and wants to be far away when the reckoning happens. > more ... (4 comments)
Polled GOP Respondents Say Obama Hangnail Worse Than Holocaust
Announcement: Ignorant fucktards who think all this Benghazi bullshit is the worst thing to to happen since Jesus died are required to report to their local suicide booth immediately.… there’s no doubt about how mad Republicans are about Benghazi. 41% say they consider this to be the biggest political scandal in American history > more ... (2 comments)
Bioshock Infinite Causes Christian Gamer To Cry And Make Piddles
Some excitable christian fundamentalist nerd got all worked up into a lather because the game Bioshock Infinite required the main character to undergo a baptism.“As baptism of the Holy spirit is at the center of Christianity – of which I am a devout believer – I am basically being forced to make a choice between committing extreme blasphemy by my actions > more ... (1 comments)
Just read this: This afternoon Senator Reid asked unanimous consent to go to conference on the concurrent resolution on the Budget. Senator Cruz was unavailable to be on the floor at this time to object. Out of respect for the long tradition of comity in the Senate, Senator Reid withdrew his request. Your eyes might drift to > more ... (1 comments)
As some of you have noticed, the site has been experiencing intermittent availability issues over the past many months. I’ve been working with our hosting company to try to find and fix the problem(s) – but they’ve proven themselves to be feckless, yet earnest. > more ... (0 comments)Why It's Important For Atheists To Stop Worrying About Religionists' Fee-Fees
Sean Carroll rightly calling on atheists to speak out and stop being polite about it:We have a responsibility to get the word out—to not be wishy-washy on the question of religion as a way of knowing, but to be clear and direct and loud about how reality really works. > more ... (1 comments)
We Paid For the Shadow Demon, We're Gonna Use the Shadow Demon
I realize that of all things featured in life’s rich tapestry this hardly rates a mention, but apparently another Dungeons and Dragons movie is making noise in the ‘Wood: The studio is actually quite far along in the development of the project, as it will use a script by Wrath Of The Titans and Red Riding > more ... (1 comments)The Loudly Ignorant Become Less So Once Shown They're Ignorant
I’m surprised that any of the fervently ignorant people surveyed in this study ever ended up moderating their positions. I wonder if the researchers included teabaggers in the sample population…
Four researchers at three different institutions joined forces to ask a simple question: why is it that people have such extreme positions on subjects that are rather complicated and nuanced? > more ... (0 comments)
I’m a sucker for arty books and paper inventions. (Not necessarily books about art, although those can be interesting too, if unaccountably heavy and given to making my floors creak.) The Museum of Lost Wonder, various items in the Wondermark Goodsery (no relation), the Edward Gorey Dracula Playset (of course), and pop-up books of > more ... (0 comments)Today's Trivia: Presidential IQs
Just found this Wikipedia list that has IQ scores for all U.S. Presidents (excluding Obama). The biggest surprise is how low Wilson comes considering his background and education, though it kinda makes sense considering how much stock he put in his own intellect, only to make the same mistakes again and again and never learn > more ... (1 comments)Says Library Right There in the Title, That's Why
Apparently, folks ain’t yet tired of shifting water from Bucket A to Bucket B and back, or of moving piles of sand about with tweezers, and took the opportunity last year to piss in over 450 collective libraries’ ears regarding such nefarious libri malvagi as Captain Underpants and The Absolutely True Diary of a Part-Time > more ... (0 comments)Do a Little Dance, Make a Little Love
Watched the Spike Jonze Director’s Series collection last night — man, I had not realized he had his fingers in so many of my yewt’s wonderful musical pies. Cannonball? Check. Sabotage? Check-check. Da Funk? Checkity-check-check. But what really made me want to do a little dance and/or make a little love was watching Christopher > more ... (0 comments)Recent Trackbacks
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