Gallup (via Pwire) has some quite interesting data:

Republicans’ enthusiasm about voting in the election for president next year has decreased, with 49% of Republicans and independents who lean Republican now saying they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting, down from 58% in September. This narrows the gap between them and Democrats, 44% of whom are more enthusiastic than usual, essentially the same as in September.

This is interesting. There’s no real reason for Republicans to assume Obama is unbeatable–the polls do not bear it out, nor does the economic calculus. If anything, drawing closer to the primaries ought to be raising Republicans’ enthusiasm. As Gallup’s chart shows, Democrats’ enthusiasm peaked in early 2008, which was when the primaries began:

2000-2011 Trend: Democrats' Advantage/Disadvantage Over Republicans in Net Enthusiasm

Is there any other way to interpret this as the Republican base just being completely unhappy with its presidential choices? Perhaps it has something to do with the inevitable consequences of governing on the Tea Party movement too. Interesting development at least.

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